Match Analysis: UMKC Kangaroos vs Iona Gaels – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Swinney Center, Kansas City, MO
Game Overview
Iona Gaels (1-0) travel to Kansas City to face the UMKC Kangaroos (1-1) in a Summit League matchup. Iona enters undefeated after a convincing 81-73 victory over Hofstra, while UMKC comes off a loss and seeks to even their record. This early-season contest features a significant talent gap, with Iona's balanced scoring attack led by CJ Anthony (24 ppg) presenting a major challenge for UMKC's defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iona shot 45% from the field and 34.6% from three in their opener against Hofstra, while holding the opponent to 44.4% FG. The Gaels averaged 81 PPG and allowed just 73 PPG. UMKC's record (1-1) suggests inconsistency early in the season. Iona is averaging 81 points on 45% shooting and allowing 73 points on 44.4% shooting. UMKC hasn't demonstrated the offensive firepower to match Iona's efficiency.
- No recent head-to-head history provided in available data. This appears to be a Summit League matchup with limited historical context.
- No injury information available in the provided data. Both teams appear to be at full or near-full strength.
- Iona hasn't started 2-0 since the 2021-22 season, suggesting potential motivation concerns despite strong opening performance. UMKC playing at home provides a minor advantage, but public betting percentages show heavy support for Iona (100% of public bets on Iona), indicating the market recognizes Iona's superiority.
- Iona has significant motivation to maintain undefeated status and avoid regression to historical patterns of slow starts. UMKC seeks redemption after a loss and benefits from home-court advantage. However, the talent disparity suggests Iona is the more motivated team with clearer path to victory.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iona -175 | UMKC +145 | Iona Gaels | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Iona -4.5 (-102) | UMKC +4.5 (-118) | Iona -4.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 158.5 (-110) | Under 158.5 (-110) | Under 158.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Iona Gaels 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iona Gaels win 76-71. The Gaels' superior offensive efficiency (45% FG) and balanced scoring led by CJ Anthony (24 ppg) overwhelms UMKC's defense. Iona's defensive prowess (holding opponents to 44.4% FG) stifles UMKC's offensive attempts. Home court provides minimal help for UMKC against a fundamentally superior opponent.
Predicted Score: Iona 76, UMKC 71