Match Analysis: UConn Huskies vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Harry A. Gampel Pavilion, Storrs, Connecticut
Game Overview
The matchup between the UConn Huskies and Arizona Wildcats features two undefeated teams (both 4-0) entering with strong momentum. UConn is favored at home with a spread of -5.5 and moneyline odds reflecting them as favorites, while Arizona looks to leverage their recent win over UConn in their last encounter. Both teams average well over 70 points per game with combined scoring generally exceeding the posted totals in previous meetings, suggesting an engaging and competitive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- UConn leads with a 4-0 record including a 3-0 home record, scoring 116 points per game on average and allowing 62. Average shooting and defensive stats favor UConn, who also have covered the spread better recently. Arizona is 4-0 as well, with a strong offense averaging 84.75 points per game but slightly weaker defense.
- Arizona won the last matchup 76-72, but UConn has been on a four-game winning streak and is favored to cover the spread this time. Historical data shows a competitive rivalry with outcomes swinging between the two.
- No significant injuries reported for either team influencing the starting lineup at this time.
- The game being at UConnβs home court is a key factor. Weather or travel fatigue is likely minimal given the timing and location. Betting market shows near-even public betting distribution favoring UConn slightly (51%).
- Both teams are unbeaten and highly ranked (UConn #3, Arizona #4), increasing motivation to maintain winning streaks and national rankings early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies: -258, Arizona Wildcats: 210 | UConn Huskies win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | UConn Huskies: -5.5 -112, Arizona Wildcats: +5.5 -108 | UConn covers the -5.5 spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 157.5 -108, Under: 157.5 -112 | Under 157.5 total points | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UConn Huskies 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 157.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 157.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UConn Huskies are predicted to win by covering the -5.5 spread with a scoreline around 79-74, fueled by home advantage and defensive consistency. Betting on UConn to win moneyline and cover the spread is supported by odds and probability data.
Predicted Score: UConn Huskies 79, Arizona Wildcats 74