Match Analysis: UCLA Bruins vs Arizona Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA
Game Overview
Arizona Wildcats (3-0) visit UCLA Bruins (3-0) in a high-stakes early-season NCAA basketball game with both teams undefeated. Arizona is favored by 3.5 points, with a total set at 154.5 points. Both teams show strong recent form with slight advantages to Arizona in offensive metrics and historical head-to-head.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona has outscored opponents more significantly (270-203) compared to UCLA (237-199) through three games, showing stronger offensive output (about 90 PPG vs. UCLA's ~79) and rebounds. UCLA is 3-0 but struggled ATS recently (0-3 ATS in last games).
- Arizona holds a 6-4 advantage over UCLA in last 10 meetings, though UCLA won the last encounter 57-54, demonstrating a competitive matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team at this time, maintaining full strength.
- The game is at UCLA's home venue, Intuit Dome, which could bolster Bruins' performance despite the Wildcats being favorites. Early season form and motivation from undefeated starts add intensity.
- Both teams are 3-0 and motivated to maintain unbeaten records. UCLA may have slight extra motivation playing at home and as underdog.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats: -182, UCLA Bruins: +150 | Arizona Wildcats | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Arizona Wildcats: -104, UCLA Bruins: -118 | UCLA Bruins +3.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: -114, Under: -106 | Under 154.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Betting Arizona moneyline (-182) offers the highest expected value given their superior offensive metrics, historical dominance, and bookmaker odds implying 64.5% win probability. For spread, UCLA +3.5 is recommended due to their home advantage and ability to keep the game close. Total expected to go under 154.5 points given recent team scoring trends and conservative pace.
Predicted Score: Arizona Wildcats 78 – UCLA Bruins 74