Match Analysis: UCF Knights vs Quinnipiac Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-26
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Addition Financial Arena, Orlando, FL
Game Overview
The UCF Knights (5-1) host the Quinnipiac Bobcats (4-2) in a mid-major NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams recently defeated Pittsburgh Panthers, with UCF winning 77-67 at home and Quinnipiac winning 83-75 on the road. UCF is coming off strong performances from key scorers and good shooting efficiency, while Quinnipiac relies on star forward Amarri Monroe and solid team contributions. The match is highly anticipated as Quinnipiac seeks to build on their first-ever road win against a Power 5 opponent, while UCF aims to maintain momentum after four straight wins.
Key Factors to Consider
- UCF Knights have a 5-1 record, winning games against competitive teams including Texas A&M and Pittsburgh, shooting 52.5% in their last game and outrebounding opponents. Quinnipiac Bobcats are 4-2 with strong offensive output led by Amarri Monroe, averaging 25 points in the last game. The Bobcats showcase balanced scoring, with all players contributing and efficient shooting percentages from Monroe (69% FG last game) and Randall (high efficiency).
- No previous head-to-head matches between UCF Knights and Quinnipiac Bobcats, making this their first encounter.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
- Game played at UCFβs home court, giving Knights a home advantage. The Bobcats are on a road trip and coming off a physically taxing game. Odds strongly favor UCF reflecting their home status and perceived stronger roster.
- Both teams are motivated by recent wins over a common opponent (Pitt). UCF wants to continue their winning streak and climb national rankings, while Quinnipiac is motivated by the chance to prove themselves against a Power Five conference team on their home floor.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | quinnipiac_bobcats: 760, ucf_knights: -1250 | UCF Knights win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | quinnipiac_bobcats: +13.5 -110, ucf_knights: -13.5 -110 | UCF Knights cover the -13.5 spread | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: 162.5 -115, under: 162.5 -105 | Under 162.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UCF Knights -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 162.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 162.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The UCF Knights are predicted to win, leveraging home court advantage, balanced team depth, and superior overall efficiency. Quinnipiac will keep the game competitive due to Monroeβs scoring and team cohesion but likely fall short against UCFβs defensive and offensive strength.
Predicted Score: UCF Knights 84 – Quinnipiac Bobcats 68