Match Analysis: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs San José St Spartans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Thunderdome
Game Overview
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos host San José St Spartans in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. The Gauchos enter with a 1-0 record and strong offensive rebounding, while the Spartans are 0-1 and struggled defensively in their opener.
Key Factors to Consider
- UCSB shot 47.1% from the field and grabbed 61 rebounds in their 98-67 win over San Francisco State. San José State lost their opener and allowed 73.7 points per game last season, with poor defensive execution in their first game.
- UCSB leads the recent series 4-1, including a 64-59 win last season. The Gauchos have covered the spread in their last three meetings.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- UCSB is at home, where they are 1-0 this season. The Thunderdome is a strong home venue for the Gauchos.
- UCSB is motivated to build on their strong start, while San José State seeks to rebound from a disappointing opener.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -410 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | ★★★★☆ 79% |
| Spread | -8.5 -115 | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -8.5 | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Over/under | 146.5 -105 | Over 146.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 146.5 41% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 146.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos to win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line.
Predicted Score: San José St 69 – 78 UC Santa Barbara