Match Analysis: UC San Diego Tritons vs Idaho Vandals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: LionTree Arena, La Jolla, CA
Game Overview
The UC San Diego Tritons host the Idaho Vandals in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Both teams enter with strong early-season records, with UC San Diego at 2-0 and Idaho at 2-0. The game is set for a Saturday afternoon in La Jolla, with ESPN+ coverage and live stats available. The Tritons have shown dominance at home, while Idaho has struggled on the road, especially against Big West Conference opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- UC San Diego is 2-0 with wins over Cal State San Marcos (OT), La Verne, Houston Christian, and Fresno State. Idaho is also 2-0, but their road record against Big West teams is poor, with four consecutive losses in road day games. Idaho has lost the first half in 10 of their last 12 road day games against non-conference opponents. UC San Diego has won nine straight home games at LionTree Arena.
- The last meeting between these teams was on December 15, 2024, with UC San Diego winning 80-56. UC San Diego has a clear advantage in recent head-to-head matchups, especially at home.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest available information.
- The game is being played at LionTree Arena, a strong home court for UC San Diego. The Tritons have a winning streak at this venue, and Idaho's struggles on the road, particularly in day games, could be a factor.
- UC San Diego is looking to continue their home dominance and build momentum early in the season. Idaho is aiming to prove themselves against a strong Big West opponent and break their road losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Idaho Vandals: 280, UC San Diego Tritons: -350 | UC San Diego Tritons | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Idaho Vandals: 8.5 -115, UC San Diego Tritons: -8.5 -105 | UC San Diego Tritons -8.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -110, Under: 150.5 -110 | Under 150.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UC San Diego Tritons 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 34% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UC San Diego is favored to win this matchup due to their strong home record, recent head-to-head dominance, and Idaho's struggles on the road. The Tritons are likely to cover the spread, and the game is expected to be relatively low-scoring, with both teams playing solid defense.
Predicted Score: UC San Diego 76, Idaho 72