Match Analysis: UC Irvine Anteaters vs Weber State Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bren Events Center, Irvine, CA
Game Overview
This NCAAB matchup features the UC Irvine Anteaters hosting the Weber State Wildcats at Bren Events Center. UC Irvine enters with a 2-1 record, showing strong offensive efficiency and home dominance, while Weber State is 1-2, struggling on the road and against non-conference opponents. The game is expected to be a test of UC Irvine's balanced attack versus Weber State's high-scoring but inconsistent offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- UC Irvine is averaging 105.3 points per game (12th nationally) and shooting 55.9% from the field, with 28.3 assists per game (1st in D1). They allow only 60.3 points per game. Weber State averages 97.3 points per game (25th) but has inflated numbers due to a blowout win; their road losses reveal defensive vulnerabilities. The Wildcats turn the ball over 12.7 times per game and commit 20 fouls per contest, while UC Irvine commits only 15.3 fouls and turns it over 11.3 times.
- UC Irvine won the last meeting 93-87 on November 22, 2024. The Anteaters have won their last six home games against Big Sky Conference teams. Weber State has lost seven of its last eight night games against non-conference opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- UC Irvine has a strong home-court advantage, having won each of their last six home games against Big Sky opponents. The game is played at Bren Events Center, where the Anteaters have been dominant. Weber State is 0-2 on the road this season and has struggled in night games away from home.
- UC Irvine is motivated to maintain their home dominance and build momentum early in the season. Weber State seeks to bounce back from road losses and prove they can compete with higher-level opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UC Irvine Anteaters: -395, Weber State Wildcats: 310 | UC Irvine Anteaters | β β β β β 90% |
| Spread | UC Irvine Anteaters: -8.5 -115, Weber State Wildcats: 8.5 -105 | UC Irvine Anteaters -8.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: 149.5 -112, under: 149.5 -108 | Over 149.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UC Irvine Anteaters -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 149.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 149.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UC Irvine is heavily favored due to their offensive efficiency, home-court advantage, and Weber State's struggles on the road. The Anteaters' balanced scoring and strong defense should control the pace and limit Weber State's scoring opportunities. Weber State's reliance on perimeter shooting and high turnover rate could be exploited by UC Irvine's aggressive defense.
Predicted Score: UC Irvine Anteaters 84, Weber State Wildcats 71