Match Analysis: UC Irvine Anteaters vs Northern Iowa Panthers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:30 AM UTC
- Location: Bren Events Center, Irvine, CA
Game Overview
The Northern Iowa Panthers enter the game on a four-game winning streak with a strong defense and effective scoring led by Leon Bond III. The UC Irvine Anteaters hold a slight advantage at home with good pace and balanced scoring, aiming to leverage their home court and defensive capabilities to challenge the Panthers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northern Iowa is undefeated (4-0) with a defensive rank in the top 10 nationally, averaging 72.8 points scored and allowing only 56.5, showing excellent control. UC Irvine is 3-2, scoring 75.9 points per game with a strong field goal defense ranking in the top 10 nationally, but has struggled on the road and in non-conference games.
- No specific recent head-to-head history was found, but Northern Iowa's superior early season form and defensive efficiency contrast with UC Irvine's better home court record, including 19 of 20 Saturday home games won historically.
- No explicit injury reports found for either team indicating significant absences impacting this matchup.
- UC Irvine's strong home-court advantage at Bren Events Center and historical Saturday home game success will influence the game. Northern Iowa faces its first true road test, which could affect performance levels.
- Northern Iowa looks to extend its winning streak and prove toughness on the road, while UC Irvine aims to capitalize on home advantage and pace to bounce back from recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Iowa Panthers: -120, UC Irvine Anteaters: +100 | Northern Iowa Panthers | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Northern Iowa Panthers: -1.5 (-104), UC Irvine Anteaters: +1.5 (-118) | Northern Iowa Panthers -1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 136.5: -110, Under 136.5: -110 | Over 136.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northern Iowa Panthers 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 136.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 136.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be tightly contested with Northern Iowa favored slightly due to their defensive strength and current form. However, UC Irvine's home advantage and scoring ability may allow them to establish a lead as the game progresses, potentially prevailing.
Predicted Score: Northern Iowa Panthers 71, UC Irvine Anteaters 65