Match Analysis: UC Irvine Anteaters vs Cal Baptist Lancers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 3:30 AM UTC
- Location: Bren Events Center, Irvine, California
Game Overview
UC Irvine Anteaters (1-0, Big West) host Cal Baptist Lancers (1-0, WAC) in a non-conference early-season matchup. UC Irvine comes off a blowout win and is favored by 7.5 points, while Cal Baptist posted a high-scoring win but showed defensive weaknesses. The over/under is set at 145.5, reflecting both teams' offensive and defensive profiles from last season.
Key Factors to Consider
- UC Irvine finished last season ranked 119th offensively (75.9 ppg) and 42nd defensively (67.0 ppg allowed). Cal Baptist was 249th offensively (71.3 ppg) and 110th defensively (70.0 ppg allowed). UC Irvine dominates in assists and field goal defense, while Cal Baptist is turnover-prone and allows opponents to score efficiently.[8]
- UC Irvine won the last meeting 71-63 and has taken two of the last three. The Anteaters consistently defend well against the Lancers, who struggle to slow down UC Irvine's schemes.[4]
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of tipoff.[1]
- The game is played on UC Irvine's home court, which has been a strong venue for the Anteaters. No notable travel or scheduling advantages for either side.
- Both teams are 1-0 and seek early momentum. UC Irvine is favored and playing at home; Cal Baptist is a road underdog but coming off a high-scoring win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UC Irvine -375, Cal Baptist +290 | UC Irvine | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Cal Baptist +7.5 -110, UC Irvine -7.5 -110 | UC Irvine -7.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 145.5 -110, Under 145.5 -110 | Under 145.5 | β β β ββ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UC Irvine Anteaters -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 145.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 145.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect UC Irvine to control tempo, exploit Cal Baptist's defensive lapses, and win by a margin greater than the spread. The under is the better play due to UC Irvineβs defensive strength and Cal Baptistβs inconsistency on offense.
Predicted Score: UC Irvine 76, Cal Baptist 66[1][8]