Match Analysis: UAB Blazers vs UTEP Miners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: John Hurst Adams Gymnasium, Jacksonville, FL
Game Overview
The UAB Blazers (4-2) face the UTEP Miners (3-3) in a NCAA basketball matchup. UAB is favored at home, having a stronger offensive output and better recent form, while UTEP struggles to defend and maintain consistent scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- UAB averages approximately 88 points per game on 46.2% shooting and allows about 71.6 points per game with solid defense, forcing 15.3 turnovers per game. UTEP averages around 77 points on 44.6% shooting and allows 71 points per game but is prone to turnovers, forcing nearly 19 turnovers from opponents. UAB outrebounds UTEP and shoots a better three-point percentage on defense.
- UAB has dominated the recent series with UTEP, winning 10 of their last 11 matchups. UTEP struggles particularly in day games against non-ranked teams and has lost the first half in seven of their last eight day games at neutral venues versus similar opponents.
- No specific injury reports for key players in either team have been noted in the available data, indicating both sides should have their main rosters available.
- Game is at a neutral site in Jacksonville, Florida, which might slightly favor UAB's better form and fan support. UTEPβs historical poor day game performance and struggles at neutral venues may negatively impact their confidence.
- UAB seeks to continue winning and improving their conference standing with strong momentum covering recent spreads. UTEP is motivated to rebound after a mixed start and recent losses but faces psychological hurdles from historical trends and tough opponent defense.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | UAB Blazers: -350, UTEP Miners: 265 | UAB Blazers to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | UAB Blazers: -7.5 -110, UTEP Miners: 7.5 -110 | UAB Blazers to cover -7.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -116, Under: 147.5 -108 | Under 147.5 points total | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UAB Blazers -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 147.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 147.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UAB Blazers are favored to win both the moneyline and cover the spread, with a strong confidence level based on offensive and defensive metrics, head-to-head dominance, and external conditions favoring them.
Predicted Score: UAB Blazers 78 – 66 UTEP Miners