Match Analysis: UAB Blazers vs South Alabama Jaguars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Bartow Arena, Birmingham, AL
Game Overview
The matchup features the UAB Blazers (3-2) hosting the undefeated South Alabama Jaguars (6-0) in a high-stakes college basketball game. South Alabama leads the Sun Belt Conference, while UAB is part of the AAC with a mixed start. Both teams show strong defensive capabilities and contrasting recent results, making this a competitive game to watch.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Alabama is undefeated at 6-0 with balanced offense averaging 72.2 PPG and strong defense allowing 67.0 PPG. UAB is 3-2, with a higher scoring average of about 76.9 PPG but also allowing 75.0 PPG, indicating a more open style of play. UAB has a significant home night game advantage, winning 11 of their last 12 night games at Bartow Arena. South Alabama has won the first half in 6 of their last 8 road night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited but UABβs dominant performance in rebounding and team stats in the last win (against Rhodes) indicates potential superiority in controlling the game pace. South Alabama's consistent first half leads on the road present a tactical edge early in games.
- No reported injuries for either team, suggesting both squads will deploy their full rosters.
- The game is hosted at UABβs home court, a venue where UAB has a strong winning trend in night games, adding external pressure on South Alabama. Weather and travel factors appear neutral with no direct impact reported.
- UAB aims to capitalize on home advantage and rebound from recent close losses, while South Alabama seeks to maintain their undefeated record and prove conference dominance on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Alabama Jaguars: +250, UAB Blazers: -310 | UAB Blazers win | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | South Alabama Jaguars: +7.5 -115, UAB Blazers: -7.5 -105 | UAB Blazers cover -7.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -115, Under: 150.5 -105 | Over 150.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | UAB Blazers -17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The prediction slightly favors UAB due to home court advantage and their strong night-game winning history, though South Alabamaβs undefeated momentum and solid defense make this a close contest. Expect a competitive game with UAB pulling a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: UAB Blazers 77 – South Alabama Jaguars 69