Match Analysis: Texas Southern Tigers vs Samford Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Health and Physical Education Arena, Houston, TX
Game Overview
The Samford Bulldogs (1-1) host the Texas Southern Tigers (0-2) in an NCAA basketball matchup. Samford has shown solid scoring ability and a strong recent performance against similar level opponents, while Texas Southern has struggled defensively in their first two games against quality opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Samford averages around 77 points per game with efficient shooting (43%) and decent defense allowing 78.5 points. Texas Southern struggles offensively and defensively, averaging only 56.5 points and allowing over 100 points per game, with poor shooting percentages.
- No recent direct matchups available in data, but Samford has dominated teams of Texas Southernβs conference and has a better recent track record against comparable competition.
- No significant injury reports found for either team affecting key players.
- Texas Southern plays at home after two tough road losses, where they normally rebound positively, but Samfordβs balanced scoring and superior form likely offset this advantage.
- Texas Southern is motivated to break their losing streak at home; however, Samfordβs confidence from early season success against lower-tier teams gives them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samford -225 / Texas Southern +185 | Samford | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Samford -5.5 -110 / Texas Southern +5.5 -110 | Samford -5.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 152.5 -110 / Under 152.5 -110 | Under 152.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas Southern Tigers 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 152.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Samford Bulldogs to win moneyline and cover the -5.5 spread, with the total points going under 152.5
Predicted Score: Samford Bulldogs 78 – Texas Southern Tigers 70