Match Analysis: Texas Longhorns vs Rider Broncs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Austin, TX
Game Overview
The Texas Longhorns will host the Rider Broncs in an NCAA Men’s basketball game with no prior head-to-head history. Texas comes in as a dominant favorite based on recent performances and statistical advantages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas Longhorns have been very strong offensively and defensively, averaging 80.3 points per game with an average margin of +18.3. They have high offensive efficiency (1.135) and effective field goal percentage (49.2%), while Rider Broncs average only 53.0 points per game and have a low offensive efficiency (0.773) and effective FG% (32.0%). Texas also protects the ball better with fewer turnovers and controls the boards more effectively.
- There is no previous head-to-head matchup history between Texas Longhorns and Rider Broncs.
- No injuries reported for either team, so both teams should be at full strength.
- Game is played at Texas' home venue in Austin, TX, giving them home court advantage. Texas is also heavily favored by oddsmakers, indicating external confidence in their ability to dominate.
- Texas likely motivated to maintain a strong start to their season after multiple recent wins by large margins. Rider Broncs have struggled offensively in recent losses and face a tough away challenge, possibly affecting their morale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -100000, away: 5000 | Texas Longhorns to win | ★★★★★ 98% |
| Spread | home: -112, away: -108, line: 30.5 | Texas Longhorns to cover -30.5 points | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Over/under | over: -108, under: -112, line: 143.5 | Over 143.5 points | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas Longhorns -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Longhorns are expected to decisively win the game, likely covering the large spread and surpassing the over/under points total.
Predicted Score: Texas Longhorns ninety-eight – Rider Broncs sixty-five