Match Analysis: Texas Longhorns vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Moody Center, Austin, TX
Game Overview
The Texas Longhorns face the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights in an NCAA basketball match at Moody Center. Texas is coming off a dominant 97-60 home victory, while Fairleigh Dickinson is 0-2 with a 10-point loss in their last game. Texas has a 1-1 record with strong offensive and defensive performances, whereas Fairleigh Dickinson struggles with low scoring and poor defensive metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas averages 78.5 points per game with 42.6% shooting and allows 67.5 points defensively. Fairleigh Dickinson scores an average of 66.5 points per game, shooting 42.2%, and concedes 90.5 points on average. Texas demonstrates better efficiency and defensive control.
- No recent direct head-to-head data available in search results, but historical large spread games indicate a heavy advantage for teams like Texas, with a 99.2% win rate when favored by 30+ points.
- No injuries reported or mentioned in available data for either team prior to the match.
- The game is at Texas's home venue, providing a significant home-court advantage. The spread line is heavily skewed in favor of Texas (-31.5), reflecting market confidence.
- Texas seeks to build momentum after a big win; Fairleigh Dickinson is motivated to avoid an 0-3 start but faces a tough challenge against a much stronger opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas Longhorns: -31.5 -112, Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: +31.5 -108 | Texas Longhorns to cover -31.5 | β β β β β 90% |
| Over/under | Over 158.5: -110, Under 158.5: -110 | Under 158.5 total points | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Texas Longhorns will decisively win and cover the large spread with a low-scoring game likely under 158.5 points total.
Predicted Score: Texas Longhorns 98 – Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 56