Match Analysis: Texas A&M Aggies vs UCF Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Reed Arena, College Station
Game Overview
Texas A&M Aggies host UCF Knights in a non-conference matchup. Both teams enter with 2-1 records, but Texas A&M has the edge at home, while UCF has shown strong offensive form. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams averaging over 80 points per game and defenses struggling to contain opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas A&M is 2-1, 2-0 at home, but suffered a 24-point loss to Oklahoma State, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. UCF is 2-1, 1-2 ATS, with a strong offensive showing, including a 97-point win over Florida A&M and 93 points against SEC opponent Vanderbilt. UCF leads in field goal efficiency and three-point shooting (53.6%), while Texas A&M ranks 170th in three-point defense. Both teams have shaky defenses, but UCF's offense is more consistent.
- UCF won the previous meeting last season. Both teams have split recent matchups, but UCF has shown the ability to compete with and beat Texas A&M in recent years.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Texas A&M has home-court advantage at Reed Arena, which can boost energy and crowd support. UCF is playing away, but has shown resilience on the road. The game is early in the season, so both teams are still developing chemistry.
- Texas A&M is looking to bounce back from a poor loss to Oklahoma State and prove they can compete with strong non-conference opponents. UCF is aiming to build momentum and prove they can win on the road against a Power 5 team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas A&M Aggies: -800, UCF Knights: 540 | Texas A&M Aggies | Not available |
| Spread | Texas A&M Aggies: -11.5, UCF Knights: 11.5 | UCF Knights +11.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 170.5, Under: 170.5 | Over 170.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Texas A&M Aggies 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 170.5 32% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 170.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
UCF is expected to keep the game close, but Texas A&M's home advantage and slightly better overall record give them a slight edge. The game is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams' defenses struggling to contain each other. UCF's strong offense and three-point shooting could be the difference, but Texas A&M's home crowd and recent home wins make them the favorite.
Predicted Score: Texas A&M Aggies 88, UCF Knights 84