Match Analysis: TCU Horned Frogs vs Michigan Wolverines – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX, USA
Game Overview
The Michigan Wolverines (2-0) visit the TCU Horned Frogs (2-1) in a nonconference NCAA men's basketball game. Michigan is currently ranked No. 6 and is coming off a close overtime win against Wake Forest, while TCU is a work in progress with a 2-1 record. Michigan holds momentum with a 2-game winning streak and a previous victory over TCU 76-64 last year in Ann Arbor. The game will be played at TCU's home arena where the Horned Frogs aim to leverage home support and improve their team chemistry.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michigan has a perfect 2-0 record with a recent overtime win against Wake Forest (85-84). TCU holds a 2-1 record, having rebounded from an opening loss with two wins. Michigan shows stronger offensive and defensive consistency and deeper roster talent.
- Michigan won the previous meeting 76-64 on November 15, 2024, in Ann Arbor. The two teams have limited recent matchups, with Michigan having an edge historically and in recent form.
- No significant injuries or absences reported for either team.
- The game takes place at TCU's home arena, which may provide the Horned Frogs with home crowd advantage. Michigan is on the road but is experienced in away games and tournaments.
- Michigan seeks to extend its winning streak and maintain its national ranking. TCU aims to prove improvement and secure a quality win at home against a top-tier opponent to boost their NCAA tournament chances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan Wolverines: -465, TCU Horned Frogs: 350 | Michigan Wolverines | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Michigan Wolverines: -8.5 -114, TCU Horned Frogs: 8.5 -106 | Michigan Wolverines to cover -8.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over: 157.5 -110, Under: 157.5 -110 | Under 157.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michigan Wolverines -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 157.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 157.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michigan Wolverines are favored to win based on superior recent form, talent, and historical matchup success.
Predicted Score: Michigan Wolverines 78 – TCU Horned Frogs 67