Match Analysis: TCU Horned Frogs vs Lamar Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-11
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth
Game Overview
TCU hosts Lamar in a non-conference matchup. TCU is heavily favored, but recent form and betting trends suggest potential value on Lamar and the over.
Key Factors to Consider
- TCU is 1-4 in their last 5 games and 2-3 ATS in that span. Lamar is 1-0 and has shown offensive efficiency. TCU struggles on the road ATS (3-10 in last 13), but this is a home game. TCUβs home totals have gone over in 6 of their last 19 games.
- No recent H2H data available for this matchup.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- TCU is a massive favorite, but public betting is split 50/50, indicating some skepticism. The game is at TCUβs home arena, which could boost their performance.
- TCU is looking to rebound from a poor start to the season. Lamar is motivated to prove themselves against a Power 5 opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lamar Cardinals: 1280, TCU Horned Frogs: -3500 | TCU Horned Frogs | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | Lamar Cardinals: 18.5 -114, TCU Horned Frogs: -18.5 -106 | Lamar Cardinals +18.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 147.5 -105, Under: 147.5 -115 | Over 147.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | TCU Horned Frogs -16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
TCU wins, but Lamar covers the spread and the total goes over.
Predicted Score: 80-72 TCU