Match Analysis: Stony Brook Seawolves vs Maine Black Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stony Brook Arena
Game Overview
The Stony Brook Seawolves host the Maine Black Bears in an early America East conference matchup. Both teams have started the season 1-0 (Stony Brook) and 0-1 (Maine), with Stony Brook displaying stronger recent form and home dominance. The total is set relatively low, reflecting expectations of a moderately paced, defensive battle.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stony Brook comes off a 66-59 home win and holds a 2-3 record over its last five games with a strong 4-1 ATS in that span. Maine lost their opener on the road by 20 points and struggles in day games against similar competition.
- Stony Brook has dominated recent matchups, winning 9 of the last 10 meetings, including a close 74-72 win in their last encounter. Home advantage further favors Stony Brook who have won six consecutive America East games at Stony Brook Arena.
- No significant injuries reported for either side influencing starting rotations or bench depth.
- Stony Brook’s strong home-court advantage and Maine's recent difficulty in day games contribute to the home team's edge. Travel and morale factors favor Stony Brook as well.
- Stony Brook is motivated to maintain home dominance and build early season momentum, while Maine seeks to rebound from a lopsided opening loss but may lack confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stony Brook -218, Maine +180 | Stony Brook | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Stony Brook -5.5 -108, Maine +5.5 -112 | Stony Brook -5.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 136.5 -112, Under 136.5 -108 | Under 136.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stony Brook Seawolves -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 136.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 136.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stony Brook Seawolves to win outright, cover the -5.5 spread, and a game total under 136.5 points.
Predicted Score: Stony Brook 69 – Maine 62