Match Analysis: Stony Brook Seawolves vs Brown Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-20
- Time: 11:31 PM UTC
- Location: Stony Brook Arena
Game Overview
The Stony Brook Seawolves (3-1) host the Brown Bears (1-4) in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Stony Brook enters with strong home form and defensive efficiency, while Brown struggles on the road and against non-conference opponents. The game is expected to be competitive, but Stony Brook is favored by the sportsbooks and analysts.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stony Brook averages 80.8 points per game with 39.3 rebounds and 15.8 assists, allowing only 62.0 points per game. Brown averages 67.6 points per game but allows 72.4 points per game. Stony Brook has won five straight home games, while Brown has lost six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but Stony Brook has historically performed well against Ivy League teams at home, with six of the last seven games producing totals of 139+ points.
- Brown Bears guard Landon Lewis is listed as questionable due to an ankle injury, which could impact their offensive production and perimeter defense.
- Stony Brook has a significant home-court advantage, with a 3-0 record at Stony Brook Arena this season. Brown is 0-1 on the road and has struggled in night games against non-conference opponents, losing the first half in five of their last six such games.
- Stony Brook is motivated to maintain their strong start and build momentum for conference play. Brown is looking to avoid a fifth consecutive loss and improve their record against non-conference opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brown Bears: 180, Stony Brook Seawolves: -218 | Stony Brook Seawolves | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Brown Bears: 4.5 -105, Stony Brook Seawolves: -4.5 -115 | Stony Brook Seawolves -4.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 136.5 -108, Under: 136.5 -112 | Over 136.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stony Brook Seawolves -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 136.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 136.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stony Brook is expected to win this game, covering the spread and pushing the total over 136.5 points. Their superior defense, home-court advantage, and Brown's recent struggles make them the clear favorite.
Predicted Score: Stony Brook Seawolves 78 – 68 Brown Bears