Match Analysis: Stonehill Skyhawks vs Loyola (MD) Greyhounds – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena, Fairfield
Game Overview
The matchup between Stonehill Skyhawks and Loyola (MD) Greyhounds sees two teams with similar records of 1-2 in the early 2025-26 NCAA basketball season. Both teams have struggled to find consistent form, but Loyola (MD) holds a slight edge at home. The game is expected to be competitive with moderate scoring, reflecting the teams' recent defensive tendencies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams enter with 1-2 records, showing vulnerabilities. Stonehill averages about 60.5 points per game and allows 76 points per game, indicating defensive challenges. Loyola (MD) scores slightly higher at about 66.8 points per game while allowing around 69 points per game, suggesting a more balanced profile but not dominant performance.
- Limited recent head-to-head data is available. Loyola (MD) opened as a slight favorite with a spread around -2.5 to -4.5. Recent matchups suggest close contests but no definitive dominating edge for either side.
- No significant injury reports or absences have been noted for either team requiring adjustments. Both squads are expected to field their standard lineups.
- The game is at Leo D. Mahoney Arena, which may give Loyola (MD) a home-court advantage. Weather or travel issues have not been reported. Public betting trends show near split support with sharp money favoring Loyola (MD).
- Both teams are motivated to break their early losing streaks and gain momentum. Stonehill may fight harder as underdogs to prove their competitiveness, while Loyola (MD) aims to capitalize on home advantage and stabilize their season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Loyola (MD): -190, Stonehill: 155 | Loyola (MD) win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Loyola (MD): -4.5 -110, Stonehill: +4.5 -110 | Loyola (MD) to cover -4.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 140.5 -115, Under: 140.5 -105 | Under 140.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stonehill Skyhawks 66% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 140.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Stonehill Skyhawks at 66% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Loyola (MD) Greyhounds are favored to win given their home advantage, more balanced scoring and defense, and sharper betting support. Expect a moderately close game with a final score reflecting their scoring averages.
Predicted Score: Loyola (MD) 69 – Stonehill 63