Match Analysis: Stetson Hatters vs VMI Keydets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Edmunds Center, DeLand, FL, USA
Game Overview
The game features VMI Keydets (3-3) visiting the Stetson Hatters (2-3) at the Edmunds Center. VMI holds a slight advantage as 2.5-point favorites with a set total of 150.5 points. Their last meeting was in December 2019, which VMI won decisively 88-61, indicating historical dominance in this matchup. VMI is currently on a one-game winning streak with an overall balanced record whereas Stetson is slightly under .500 and on a two-game losing streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- VMI is off to a relatively balanced start (3-3), showing competitiveness with solid offensive outputs in wins, including a 106-77 win and a previously dominant victory over Stetson in 2019. Stetson has struggled more recently, standing at 2-3 overall and suffering consecutive losses before this matchup. VMI's away record is strong (2-0), whereas Stetson plays at home but with weaker recent form.
- The two teams last met on December 7, 2019, when VMI defeated Stetson 88-61. There have been no recorded meetings since then, meaning limited recent direct comparison but historical edge to VMI.
- No specific injury information is available for either team from the current data, indicating likely full rosters or lack of notable absences.
- The game is played at Stetson's home stadium in DeLand, Florida, which can provide a home-court advantage. However, VMIβs undefeated away record this season suggests they handle travel well. The match airs on ESPN+ with betting lines suggesting market confidence in VMI.
- VMI looks to build on their moderate early-season form and maintain their undefeated away streak, while Stetson aims to break a losing skid and defend home court. VMI may have slight psychological advantage given dominance in the last meeting.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stetson Hatters: +122, VMI Keydets: -146 | VMI Keydets to win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Stetson Hatters: 2.5 -115, VMI Keydets: -2.5 -105 | VMI Keydets -2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 150.5 -110, Under: 150.5 -110 | Over 150.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | VMI Keydets -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 150.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
VMI Keydets are favored to win this game by about 2.5 points, reflecting better all-around team performance and head-to-head history. The total points are expected to be close to the over/under line of 150.5, with moderate scoring expected from both sides.
Predicted Score: VMI Keydets 78 – Stetson Hatters 74