Match Analysis: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Abilene Christian Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: William R. Johnson Coliseum, Stephen F. Austin
Game Overview
The undefeated Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (3-0) host the equally undefeated Abilene Christian Wildcats (3-0) in a Southland Conference matchup featuring strong offenses and solid recent form for both squads.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stephen F. Austin is shooting efficiently with a strong defense, ranked top-100 in field goal and three-point percentage allowed. They have recently struggled ATS (0-5) but started 3-0 overall. Abilene Christian has displayed high shooting percentages (63.2% last game) and solid rebounding but showed some inconsistency against Division I competition.
- Recent direct matchups are limited; however, Stephen F. Austin has held the upper hand on the road historically against Southland opponents. Both teams have performed well at home, with Abilene Christian winning nine of their last ten Southland night games.
- No significant injuries reported for either team heading into the game.
- Game played at Stephen F. Austin's home court which is a notable advantage for them given their strong shooting stats and defense. Travel and schedule are even with both teams undefeated but Abilene Christian has faced fewer Division I opponents.
- Stephen F. Austin aims to maintain its hot start and assert dominance at home, while Abilene Christian seeks to prove themselves further against a quality opponent and sustain their perfect record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stephen F. Austin: -325, Abilene Christian: +260 | Stephen F. Austin | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Stephen F. Austin -7.5: -108, Abilene Christian +7.5: -112 | Stephen F. Austin -7.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 143.5: -110, Under 143.5: -110 | Over 143.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stephen F. Austin to win straight up on the moneyline, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to go over the 143.5 total points line.
Predicted Score: Stephen F. Austin 78 – Abilene Christian 65
