Match Analysis: St. John's Red Storm vs Baylor Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise, NV
Game Overview
This is a neutral-site matchup between the St. John's Red Storm and the Baylor Bears in the NCAA Men's Basketball regular season. Both teams are coming off strong starts to the season, with Baylor at 2-0 and St. John's at 1-1. The game is scheduled for 10:00 PM local time (21:30 UTC) at the Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The matchup is expected to be competitive, with recent head-to-head results and betting trends indicating a close contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Baylor has started the season 2-0, showing strong offensive and defensive balance. St. John's is 1-1, with their only loss coming by a narrow margin. Both teams have seen their recent games go over the total, indicating a tendency for high-scoring contests. St. John's has gone over the total in their last two games, including both home and away matchups.
- Baylor leads the all-time series 1-0 in the last three seasons, with their most recent meeting ending in a 99-98 Baylor victory. The previous meeting in 2012 was also a Baylor win, 97-78. Both games went over the total, and Baylor has covered the spread in both matchups.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at a neutral site, which eliminates any home-court advantage. The venue is a major arena in Las Vegas, which may add some excitement and energy to the game. The weather is not a factor for an indoor event.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Baylor is aiming to maintain their undefeated record, while St. John's is seeking to bounce back from their recent loss and prove themselves against a ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. John's Red Storm: 1.46, Baylor Bears: 2.9 | St. John's Red Storm | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Baylor Bears: 5.5 -110, St. John's Red Storm: -5.5 -110 | St. John's Red Storm +5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 162.5 -110, Under: 162.5 -110 | Over 162.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 162.5 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 162.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baylor is favored to win this game, but St. John's has shown the ability to compete closely with top teams. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with both teams capable of putting up points. Baylor's recent success against St. John's and their strong start to the season give them a slight edge, but St. John's has the potential to keep the game close.
Predicted Score: St. John's Red Storm 85, Baylor Bears 82
