Match Analysis: St. John's Red Storm vs Alabama Crimson Tide – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York
Game Overview
The St. John's Red Storm host the Alabama Crimson Tide in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams start with 1-0 records, but St. John's dominated their opener with strong shooting efficiency and high rebound and assist numbers, while Alabama's recent detailed stats are limited.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. John's won their first game 108-74 with impressive shooting splits (56.5% FG, 42.1% 3PT) and strong rebounding (45 boards) and assists (25), reflecting a balanced and efficient offense. Alabama also 1-0 but lacked detailed performance stats to compare. St. John's have home court advantage at Madison Square Garden.
- No detailed recent head-to-head data found for this matchup, but bookmaker odds and betting markets favor St. John's heavily at home.
- No injury reports found for either team, indicating both lineups are likely fully available.
- Playing at Madison Square Garden gives St. John's a historic home court edge and potential crowd advantage. Game is nationally televised, likely motivating both teams.
- Both teams are 1-0 and motivated to start season strong, but St. John's recent blowout win may boost confidence and execution.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. John's Red Storm -285 | St. John's Red Storm | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | St. John's Red Storm -6.5 -110 | St. John's Red Storm -6.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Under 168.5 -110 | Under 168.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. John's Red Storm -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 168.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 168.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. John's Red Storm to cover the -6.5 spread, win on moneyline, and the game to stay under the total points line.
Predicted Score: St. John's 82 – Alabama 72