Match Analysis: St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Canisius Golden Griffins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Reilly Center, St. Bonaventure, NY
Game Overview
The St. Bonaventure Bonnies host the Canisius Golden Griffins in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. St. Bonaventure enters with a 1-0 record coming off a solid defensive performance at home, while Canisius is 1-1 and facing a challenging road game.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Bonaventure has shown strong home form and defensive efficiency, allowing only 25% from three-point range and controlling rebounds. Canisius has had some inconsistency with a 1-1 start and less defensive stability.
- The teams are historically even, splitting recent meetings 3-3, with close scoring margins. However, St. Bonaventure holds a slight edge when playing at home in this series.
- Canisius is dealing with multiple lower leg injuries to key players G. Niblack, X. Wedlow, and G. Ermakov, which could limit depth and effectiveness. St. Bonaventure appears healthy with no reported major injuries.
- St. Bonaventure benefits from a strong home crowd at the Reilly Center and roster continuity that may give them confidence early in the season. Canisius must travel and adapt to a hostile environment.
- St. Bonaventure aims to cement their status early, especially after roster turnover, making motivation very high. Canisius looks to stabilize their season after a 1-1 start but faces an uphill battle.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Canisius Golden Griffins: 1300, St. Bonaventure Bonnies: -2800 | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | β β β β β 87% |
| Spread | Canisius Golden Griffins +18.5: -108, St. Bonaventure Bonnies -18.5: -112 | St. Bonaventure Bonnies -18.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 137.5: -115, Under 137.5: -105 | Under 137.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Bonaventure Bonnies -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 137.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 137.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on St. Bonaventure Bonnies Moneyline, Cover the -18.5 spread, and Under 137.5 total points
Predicted Score: St. Bonaventure Bonnies 74 – Canisius Golden Griffins 56