Match Analysis: South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs North Carolina Central Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: G.B. Hodge Center
Game Overview
South Carolina Upstate Spartans host North Carolina Central Eagles in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams are struggling this season, with Upstate holding a 3-4 record and Central at 2-5. The Spartans are favored by about 5.5-6.5 points, with a total points line set near 151.5. The game is expected to be a defensive battle, with both teams ranking low in offensive efficiency and scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- USC Upstate averages 81.3 points per game and allows 68.4, with a strong offensive rebounding rate (27.7%) and solid defensive efficiency. North Carolina Central struggles offensively, averaging only 58.0 points per game and shooting just 38.2% effective field goal percentage. The Eagles also have a poor turnover rate (16.9%) and are weak on the offensive glass (21.2%). Upstate has a clear edge in scoring, rebounding, and defensive metrics.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but Upstate's superior efficiency and home-court advantage suggest a likely edge.
- No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Upstate's home venue, the G.B. Hodge Center, which may provide a slight boost to the Spartans. The contest is not televised on a major network, but is available on ESPN+.
- Both teams are looking to improve their records and build momentum for conference play. Upstate will be motivated to protect their home court, while Central seeks a rare road win to boost morale.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | North Carolina Central Eagles: 205, South Carolina Upstate Spartans: -265 | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | North Carolina Central Eagles: 5.5 -104, South Carolina Upstate Spartans: -5.5 -118 | South Carolina Upstate Spartans -5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 151.5 -114, Under: 151.5 -110 | Over 151.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Carolina Upstate Spartans -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 151.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 151.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Carolina Upstate is favored to win this matchup due to their superior offensive and defensive efficiency, rebounding, and home-court advantage. The Eagles' struggles on offense and poor scoring margin make it difficult for them to compete in this environment. The game is likely to be close, but Upstate should cover the spread and push the total over 151.5 points.
Predicted Score: USC Upstate 78 – North Carolina Central 74