Match Analysis: South Carolina Gamecocks vs Northwestern Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Colonial Life Arena, Columbia, SC
Game Overview
The South Carolina Gamecocks host the Northwestern Wildcats in a non-conference matchup on November 23, 2025. Both teams enter the game with 4-1 records, bringing strong momentum into this contest. Northwestern is favored by about 6.5 points, with the over/under set at 139.5 points. The game features contrasting styles: Northwestern excels in three-point shooting and turnover margin, while South Carolina relies on a high-volume three-point attack and home-court advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Northwestern ranks in the top 25 nationally in opponent field goal percentage and top 75 in opponent three-point percentage, indicating a strong defense. They also shoot over 40% from three and force turnovers at a high rate. South Carolina attempts a high volume of three-pointers (49.5% of shots), ranking 31st nationally, but struggles with turnovers and has trailed from start to finish in recent games. Both teams play at a slow tempo, ranking in the bottom 25 in adjusted pace.
- No recent head-to-head matchups are available, but both teams have faced similar levels of competition and have shown balanced performances this season.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at South Carolina's home venue, which could provide a slight edge due to crowd support. The weather and travel conditions are not expected to impact the game.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Northwestern aims to prove its strength against a solid SEC opponent, while South Carolina seeks to extend its home winning streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northwestern Wildcats: -300, South Carolina Gamecocks: 240 | Northwestern Wildcats | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Northwestern Wildcats: -6.5, South Carolina Gamecocks: 6.5 | Northwestern Wildcats cover | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 139.5 -115, Under: 139.5 -105 | Under | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Northwestern Wildcats -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 139.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Northwestern is favored to win and cover the spread due to their superior defense and three-point shooting. The game is expected to be competitive, but Northwestern's ability to force turnovers and maintain a slow pace should limit scoring, making the under a strong play.
Predicted Score: Northwestern 72, South Carolina 67