Match Analysis: South Alabama Jaguars vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: McArthur Center, St. Petersburg, Florida
Game Overview
South Alabama Jaguars (3-0) host the Central Michigan Chippewas (1-1) in a non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. South Alabama has shown strong defense historically and is currently on a winning streak, while Central Michigan has struggled with scoring and defense consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- South Alabama ranks top 20 nationally in defense allowing 64.6 points per game last season and has won its last 3 games. Central Michigan scored 75.5 points per game last season but allowed 72.2 points and is 1-1 so far this season.
- The all-time series is tied 1-1. Last year, Central Michigan won the season opener 74-70 at home, but recent analysis and simulations favor South Alabama.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
- South Alabama enjoys home court advantage at McArthur Center; Central Michigan faces an early 11 a.m. ET tip-off which could affect road performance. South Alabama prefers a slower pace controlling possessions which disrupts Central Michigan's offensive comfort.
- South Alabama aims to extend their undefeated start and maintain momentum, while Central Michigan is motivated to prove competitive on the road but faces a tough defensive opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -260, away: +210 | South Alabama | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | home: -110, away: -110 | South Alabama -5.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Over 143.5 | β β β ββ 66% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | South Alabama Jaguars -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
South Alabama to win outright and cover the spread, with the game total going over.
Predicted Score: South Alabama 77 – Central Michigan 68