Match Analysis: SMU Mustangs vs Radford Highlanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Moody Coliseum
Game Overview
The SMU Mustangs host the Radford Highlanders in an NCAA Men’s basketball game. SMU enters with a strong offensive and defensive profile, having scored over 150 points in 66% of their last 9 games and winning their recent matchups convincingly. Radford struggles comparatively, averaging 71.0 points per game with a negative scoring margin and weaker defensive efficiency. There is virtually no recent head-to-head history, with only one matchup dating back to 1986, favoring SMU.
Key Factors to Consider
- SMU shows dominant performance with a +20.2 average score margin, 93.3 points per game, 56.6% effective FG, and strong defensive numbers allowing 73.2 points on average. Radford is weaker offensively and defensively with 71.0 points per game and 85.2 opponents’ points average, showing less rebounding, assists, and defensive effectiveness.
- No recent head-to-head games exist. Only one prior meeting in 1986 resulted in a SMU win 82-61. No data on draws or further matchups.
- No specific injury information is available for either team at this time.
- SMU holds a significant home advantage playing at Moody Coliseum and ranks higher in strength of schedule metrics, suggesting better preparation and opponent experience. Radford is under heavy pressure with a -14.2 average scoring margin and poor away performance trends.
- SMU is motivated to continue their strong winning streak and leverage home court dominance; Radford looks to gain momentum but faces a steep challenge against a far superior opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Radford Highlanders: 2500, SMU Mustangs: -10000 | SMU Mustangs win | ★★★★★ 95% |
| Spread | Radford Highlanders: -23.5 -110, SMU Mustangs: +23.5 -110 | SMU Mustangs cover -23.5 spread | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Over/under | Over: 164.5 -112, Under: 164.5 -112 | Over 164.5 points | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | SMU Mustangs -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 164.5 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 164.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
SMU Mustangs are highly favored to win comfortably due to superior offense, defense, and home advantage.
Predicted Score: SMU Mustangs 92 – Radford Highlanders 65