Match Analysis: SMU Mustangs vs Butler Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Moody Coliseum
Game Overview
SMU Mustangs host Butler Bulldogs in a high-profile non-conference matchup featuring two undefeated teams. Both squads have shown explosive offensive capabilities early in the season, but questions remain about defensive consistency and road performance. The game is expected to be a fast-paced, high-scoring affair with significant implications for both teams' early-season momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- SMU is averaging over 90 points per game and ranks 39th in offensive efficiency, while Butler is averaging over 88 points and ranks 70th in offense. Both teams play at a high tempo, with Butler ranked 63rd in adjusted tempo and SMU 90th. SMU's defense has shown vulnerabilities, especially in transition, while Butler has held opponents to 68 points per game and forced 15 turnovers per contest.
- No recent head-to-head meetings are available, but both teams are facing their toughest test of the season so far. SMU has a slight edge in strength of schedule and roster depth.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- The game is being played at Moody Coliseum, giving SMU a home-court advantage. The venue is known for its energetic atmosphere, which could impact Butler's performance on the road for the first time this season.
- Both teams are undefeated and highly motivated to maintain their perfect records. SMU is looking to prove itself against a quality opponent, while Butler aims to continue its strong start and potentially make a statement on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -365, away: 285 | SMU Mustangs | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | home: -7.5 -110, away: 7.5 -110 | SMU Mustangs -7.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | over: 168.5 -115, under: 168.5 -105 | Over 168.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | SMU Mustangs -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 168.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 168.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
SMU Mustangs to win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line.
Predicted Score: 88-82