Match Analysis: Siena Saints vs Colgate Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: MVP Arena, Albany, NY
Game Overview
The Siena Saints host the Colgate Raiders in an NCAA basketball matchup featuring a home team with a stronger recent record (2-1) versus a Colgate squad struggling at 1-3. Siena is favored to win at home and has shown solid performance against the spread recently, while Colgate is a decent underdog with strong free throw shooting and some resilience in close games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Siena averages 70.0 points per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and grabbing 37.7 rebounds per contest. Colgate averages 74.7 points per game on 49.4% shooting, hitting 37.7% from three and shooting 83.7% from the line. Colgate is turning the ball over 12.3 times per game while Siena has allowed 29 rebounds to opponents in recent play.
- Previous meetings suggest Siena has home-court advantage with a strong record on their court, winning seven of their last eight night games at MVP Arena. Colgate has struggled historically on the road and in night games within this conference matchup.
- No key injury information is currently available that would significantly impact either team's rotations or performance.
- The game is played at MVP Arena in Albany, which favors Siena. Weather or travel disruptions are not indicated as relevant factors.
- Siena aims to capitalize on home advantage and maintain a positive season momentum. Colgate seeks to rebound from recent road struggles and keep games competitive using strong free throw shooting and spreading scoring responsibility.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Siena Saints: -260, Colgate Raiders: 205 | Siena Saints to win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Siena Saints: -5.5 -112, Colgate Raiders: +5.5 -108 | Siena Saints to cover -5.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 150.5: -108, Under 150.5: -116 | Under 150.5 total points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Siena Saints -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Siena Saints are favored to win at home by a moderate margin, supported by better recent form, home venue advantage, and consistent performance against the spread.
Predicted Score: Siena Saints 77 – Colgate Raiders 69