Match Analysis: Seton Hall Pirates vs Wagner Seahawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Walsh Gymnasium, South Orange, NJ
Game Overview
Seton Hall Pirates (1-0), fresh off a dominant 77-50 win, host Wagner Seahawks (0-1), who were blown out 103-74 at VCU. Seton Hall is a heavy favorite, but the spread is unusually wide for an early-season matchup. Wagner looks to bounce back defensively after their opening loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seton Hall has started the season impressively, both offensively and defensively, with a +27 point differential in their opener. Wagner struggled on both ends, allowing 103 points and losing by 29.
- Seton Hall has won their last 7 meetings, including a lopsided 54-28 victory in the most recent matchup. Head-to-head dominance heavily favors Seton Hall.
- No injuries reported for either team, based on available data.
- Game is at Seton Hallβs home court, where the Pirates started strong this season. Line movement indicates continued public confidence in Seton Hall.
- Seton Hall aims to build momentum early; Wagner seeks to prove theyβre not as overmatched as their opener suggested.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Seton Hall -2500 (implied), Wagner +1600 (implied) | Seton Hall wins | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | Seton Hall -23.5 -105, Wagner +23.5 -115 | Wagner covers +23.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 132.5 -110, Under 132.5 -110 | Under 132.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 132.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 132.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seton Hall likely wins big, but 23.5 is a massive margin for early-season college basketball. While Seton Hallβs recent form and H2H dominance suggest a heavy win, the value in the underdog covering is underrated given Wagnerβs motivation to tighten up their defense and Seton Hallβs tendency to dominate but not always cover such large spreads. The total is low, reflecting Wagnerβs defensive question marks, but Seton Hallβs scoring pace may surprise.
Predicted Score: Seton Hall 73, Wagner 56