Match Analysis: Santa Clara Broncos vs Idaho State Bengals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Leavey Center, Santa Clara
Game Overview
Santa Clara Broncos host Idaho State Bengals in a non-conference NCAAB matchup. Santa Clara enters the game with a perfect 4-0 record, while Idaho State is 2-2. The Broncos are heavy favorites, with a spread of -17.5 and moneyline odds of -2400, reflecting their strong start and home-court advantage. The total is set at 144.5, indicating a moderate scoring expectation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Santa Clara is 4-0 SU and 3-0 ATS, showing dominance both straight up and against the spread. Their recent games have seen totals go over in 2 of their last 3. Idaho State is 2-2 SU and 2-0 ATS, but their record is less impressive, and they have struggled on the road. Santa Clara's offense is efficient, shooting 50% from the field and 35% from three, while Idaho State shoots 45% from the field and 29% from three. Santa Clara also holds a rebounding edge (38.25 to 29.25) and more assists (21 to 13.3).
- Santa Clara has dominated recent meetings, winning the last two matchups by double digits. In their last meeting, Santa Clara won 62-49 as a 11.5-point favorite, covering the spread. The total has gone under in both of the last two meetings.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Santa Clara is playing at home, where they are undefeated this season. The game is part of a non-conference schedule, so both teams are looking to build momentum. The weather and travel are not expected to be factors.
- Santa Clara is looking to maintain their undefeated record and build confidence for conference play. Idaho State is seeking a signature win to boost their resume and improve their NET ranking.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santa Clara Broncos: -2400, Idaho State Bengals: 1200 | Santa Clara Broncos | β β β β β 95% |
| Spread | Santa Clara Broncos: -17.5 -108, Idaho State Bengals: +17.5 -112 | Santa Clara Broncos -17.5 | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | over: 144.5 -115, under: 144.5 -105 | Under 144.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santa Clara Broncos 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Santa Clara is expected to win comfortably, covering the -17.5 spread. The total is likely to go under 144.5, as both teams have shown a tendency to play lower-scoring games in recent matchups.
Predicted Score: Santa Clara 72, Idaho State 58