Match Analysis: San José St Spartans vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Acrisure Arena, Thousand Palms
Game Overview
The San José St Spartans (2-3) host the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-1) in this NCAA college basketball matchup. Tulsa is favored both on the moneyline and spread, reflecting their stronger start and higher winning percentage. The total points line is set at approximately 150.5, with a moderately balanced over/under betting market.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulsa holds a better record (4-1) compared to San José St (2-3) and boasts superior offensive and defensive statistics including higher field goal accuracy (48% vs 47%), more rebounds (36.2 vs 33.6), and assists (17.6 vs 12), although they commit more fouls. San José St shows competitiveness against the spread with some recent momentum, winning 3 of their last 5 games and 3 of their last 5 ATS.
- Historical and recent head-to-head stats are limited, but Tulsa has been the more dominant team recently, covering the spread more consistently and holding a significant 4-1 straight up win advantage in the last matchups referenced.
- No explicit injury reports are available in the current data, implying key players are likely available for both teams.
- The game is being played at Acrisure Arena, an advantage geographically closer to Tulsa, possibly benefiting them. Public betting heavily favors San José St in betting percentages but not money, indicating possible sharp money backing Tulsa.
- San José St is seeking their third consecutive win and may ride momentum, but Tulsa looks determined to maintain dominance and rebound strongly from a narrow loss to a top team (Kansas). Tulsa's higher winning record and recent form suggest strong motivation to keep pace in rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San José St Spartans: +210, Tulsa Golden Hurricane: -258 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | San José St Spartans: +6.5 at -112, Tulsa Golden Hurricane: -6.5 at -108 | Tulsa -6.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 150.5: -112, Under 150.5: -108 | Under 150.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 150.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 150.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulsa Golden Hurricane are favored to win by approximately 12 to 13 points, reflecting their stronger team metrics and deeper roster. The prediction aligns with simulations showing Tulsa winning about 87-74, projecting a total slightly under the 150.5 line but with enough offensive firepower to cover the spread.
Predicted Score: San José St Spartans 74 – Tulsa Golden Hurricane 87