Match Analysis: San Francisco Dons vs Bradley Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 16, 2025
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: Not specified in available data
Game Overview
San Francisco Dons face Bradley Braves in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. San Francisco enters as the clear favorite with strong recent form, while Bradley seeks to pull off an upset. The Dons have demonstrated offensive prowess in recent games, while the Braves have maintained consistent scoring capabilities despite recent setbacks.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Francisco Dons have scored over 140 points in 83% of their games over the last month (6 games) and over 130 points in 83% of those contests. They posted 80 points against Portland State (W) on November 13 and 66 points in a close loss to Seton Hall (L) on November 15. Bradley Braves have exceeded 130 points in 100% of their games in the last month (4 games), showing consistent offensive output. However, Bradley has dropped their last two games: 78-67 loss to Tennessee Martin (November 13) and previously 64-78 to DePaul (November 12).
- San Francisco leads the all-time series 1-0 against Bradley, with their most recent matchup on December 19, 2024, resulting in a 66-64 victory for Bradley in that historical context. However, current head-to-head records show San Francisco with superior recent performance metrics.
- No specific injury information available in current data
- The game is an early morning tip-off at 03:00 UTC on November 16, which may reflect West Coast scheduling. This is part of the regular NCAA Men's Basketball season.
- San Francisco is motivated to maintain momentum after a recent victory over Portland State, though the Seton Hall loss provides urgency. Bradley seeks to reverse a two-game losing streak and prove their high-scoring capabilities can translate to wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | SF Dons -465 / Bradley +350 | San Francisco Dons Victory | β β β β β 82% |
| Spread | SF Dons -8.5 (-110) / Bradley +8.5 (-110) | San Francisco Dons -8.5 | β β β β β 76% |
| Over/under | Over 148.5 (-110) / Under 148.5 (-110) | Over 148.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Francisco Dons -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 148.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 148.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Dons are projected to win this matchup as favorites. Their superior -465 moneyline odds, combined with 83% success rate in scoring over 140 points and recent momentum, position them as the likely victors. Bradley Braves' 8.5-point underdog status reflects their current form, though their 100% rate of exceeding 130 points suggests competitive scoring output.
Predicted Score: San Francisco Dons 76, Bradley Braves 66