Match Analysis: San Diego Toreros vs UC Riverside Highlanders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion, San Diego, CA
Game Overview
The San Diego Toreros host the UC Riverside Highlanders in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Both teams are early in their 2025-26 seasons, with San Diego finishing a five-game home stand and UC Riverside seeking a bounce-back after a recent loss. The game is expected to be competitive, with San Diego favored by about 6.5 points and the total set at 152.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego Toreros have shown strong home form, winning their last two games, including a 78-68 victory over Grambling State. UC Riverside Highlanders are coming off a loss to Cal Baptist (80-57) and have struggled on the road, losing three of their last four away games. San Diego's offense has been efficient, averaging over 75 points per game, while UC Riverside's defense has allowed 70+ points in three of their last four outings.
- San Diego holds a slight edge in recent head-to-head matchups, including a 92-84 win in December 2022. The teams have not met since, but San Diego's home advantage and recent form suggest they may continue their dominance.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full starting lineups.
- San Diego is playing at home, where they have been strong this season. UC Riverside is on the road, which has been a challenge for them this year. The game is part of San Diego's season-opening home stand, which may provide added motivation.
- San Diego is looking to finish their home stand on a high note, while UC Riverside is seeking to bounce back from a recent loss and prove they can compete with stronger opponents.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Toreros: -278, UC Riverside Highlanders: 225 | San Diego Toreros | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | San Diego Toreros: -6.5, UC Riverside Highlanders: 6.5 | San Diego Toreros -6.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 152.5, Under: 152.5 | Over 152.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Toreros -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 152.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 152.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Toreros are favored to win this matchup, with a strong home record and recent form. UC Riverside may keep the game close, but San Diego's offensive efficiency and home advantage should be enough to secure the victory. The game is likely to be decided by a margin close to the spread, with the total points landing near the over/under line.
Predicted Score: San Diego Toreros 78 – 74 UC Riverside Highlanders