Match Analysis: San Diego Toreros vs Idaho Vandals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion, San Diego, CA
Game Overview
The San Diego Toreros (1-1) host the Idaho Vandals (2-0) in a closely matched NCAA basketball game. Idaho enters with a strong 2-0 record, including a dominant recent win of 94-49 over Whitman Missionaries. San Diego comes off a narrow 71-68 home loss to Idaho State Bengals. Both teams are competitive with contrasting styles: Idaho tends to score more points per game and has solid shooting percentages, while San Diego has a home advantage and good rebounding stats.
Key Factors to Consider
- Idaho averages 88.5 points per game with high shooting percentages and solid assists and steals. San Diego averages 78 points per game with strong rebounding and lower turnovers but has a slight recent home loss. Idaho has shown road vulnerabilities historically, while San Diego performs well at home on Wednesdays.
- The previous encounter ended with San Diego winning 68-61. Idaho often wins first halves against comparable non-ranked opponents, but San Diego tends to hold a strong home record on midweek games.
- No significant injury reports available for either team at this time.
- The game is played at San Diego's venue, giving them a slight home-court advantage. The crowd and travel fatigue could impact Idaho, who has lost four of their last five road games following a home win.
- San Diego aims to improve their home and midweek record and rebound from their recent loss. Idaho looks to maintain their unbeaten record and leverage their scoring efficiency.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Idaho_Vandals: -115, San_Diego_Toreros: -105 | Idaho Vandals to win | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Idaho_Vandals_-1.5: 100, San_Diego_Toreros_+1.5: -120 | San Diego Toreros +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over_158.5: -115, Under_158.5: -105 | Under 158.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Idaho Vandals 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be tight. The slight edge is given to Idaho Vandals on the moneyline and spread due to their unbeaten record and scoring strength, but San Diego's home advantage and motivation to cover the spread make them strong contenders. The total points will likely stay under 159.5 given recent performances and defensive tendencies.
Predicted Score: Idaho Vandals 79 – San Diego Toreros 77