Match Analysis: San Diego Toreros vs Idaho Vandals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-13
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion, San Diego, CA
Game Overview
The Idaho Vandals (2-0) visit the San Diego Toreros (1-1) in a closely matched non-conference NCAA basketball game. Idaho comes in with strong recent offensive performances, including a dominant 94-49 home win, while San Diego is in a slight slump after a narrow home loss to Idaho State.
Key Factors to Consider
- Idaho averages 88.5 points per game with efficient shooting (53% FG), strong rebounding, and good defensive stats. San Diego scores less at 78 points per game and has shown some turnovers and shooting inefficiency recently.
- Recent encounter favored San Diego 68-61, but both teams have been competitive with close margins, indicating a potentially tight matchup.
- San Diego is dealing with an ankle injury to Gavin Ripp, which may affect their depth and performance.
- The game is at San Diegoβs home court, giving them slight venue advantage but with no significant external disruptions reported.
- Idaho is undefeated and likely motivated to maintain momentum and control over this matchup, while San Diego aims to recover from recent losses and defend home turf.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | idaho: -115, san_diego: -105 | Idaho Vandals to win | β β β ββ 64% |
| Spread | idaho_-1.5: +100, san_diego_+1.5: -120 | San Diego Toreros +1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | over_158.5: -115, under_158.5: -105 | Under 158.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Idaho Vandals 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Idaho Vandals moneyline and the game total under 159.5 points with San Diego covering the spread (+1.5). Idahoβs form and efficiency edge them as slight favorites, but San Diegoβs defense and home advantage should keep the game close and low scoring.
Predicted Score: Idaho Vandals 79 – San Diego Toreros 77