Match Analysis: San Diego Toreros vs Idaho State Bengals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion, San Diego, CA
Game Overview
San Diego Toreros host the Idaho State Bengals in an early season non-conference college basketball game. Both teams enter 1-0 with San Diego favored at home. The matchup features contrasting defensive and offensive profiles with San Diego showing strong defensive numbers and Idaho State boasting a balanced offense with key contributors.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego dominated their opener with an 88-59 win over Occidental Tigers, showing strong defense (held opponent under 60) and efficient scoring. Idaho State also started 1-0 with an 81-71 win over Park University but allowed 71 points and shows weaker defense, especially from the perimeter. Idaho State's Quin Patterson and Connor Hollenbeck lead scoring and rebounding efforts.
- Idaho State won the last head-to-head encounter 78-66 away from home, but San Diego is at home this time and coming off a higher margin win. Historically, San Diego has shown defensive superiority and ability to control pace.
- No significant injury reports currently impacting starting lineups or key contributors for either team.
- San Diego has full home-court advantage at Jenny Craig Pavilion, with strong crowd support and familiarity with the arena environment. Travel and early season cohort chemistry may favor home team.
- Both teams are motivated to maintain undefeated starts early in the season. San Diego, as favorites at home, looks to assert dominance in front of home fans, while Idaho State aims to prove their last H2H win was no fluke.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego: -260, Idaho State: +205 | San Diego Toreros | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | San Diego: -5.5 -108, Idaho State: +5.5 -112 | San Diego Toreros -5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 153.5 -110, Under: 153.5 -114 | Under 153.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Toreros 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 153.5 9% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 153.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Toreros to win outright with a moderately low spread and game total under 153.5 points indicating a defensive, controlled pace game.
Predicted Score: San Diego Toreros 80 – Idaho State Bengals 70