Match Analysis: San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center
Game Overview
The San Antonio Spurs host the Sacramento Kings at Frost Bank Center on November 16, 2025. The Spurs enter the game with a strong home record (5-2) and sit sixth in the Western Conference, while the Kings are struggling with a 3-10 record and are on a five-game losing streak. The matchup features two teams with contrasting recent performances, with the Spurs favored to win both straight up and against the spread.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Antonio Spurs are 8-4 overall and 5-2 at home, showing solid consistency and defensive resilience. Sacramento Kings are 3-10 overall and 1-5 away, having allowed an average of 131 points in their last five games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- Recent head-to-head matchups show the Spurs have had the upper hand, especially at home. The Kings have lost their last five games, while the Spurs have won four of their last five.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest lineups.
- The game is played at Frost Bank Center, a venue where the Spurs have a strong home advantage. The Kings are on a tough road stretch and have struggled away from home.
- The Spurs are motivated to maintain their position in the Western Conference and extend their home dominance. The Kings are looking to snap a losing streak and improve their conference standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sacramento Kings: 250, San Antonio Spurs: -310 | San Antonio Spurs | Not available |
| Spread | Sacramento Kings: 8.5 -112, San Antonio Spurs: -8.5 -108 | San Antonio Spurs -8.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 238.5 -105, Under: 238.5 -115 | Over 238.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Antonio Spurs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 238.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 238.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The San Antonio Spurs are favored to win this game, both straight up and against the spread. The Kings' defensive struggles and recent form suggest they will find it difficult to keep up with the Spurs' offensive output. The total points are expected to be high, given the Kings' tendency to allow points and the Spurs' scoring ability.
Predicted Score: San Antonio Spurs 122 – Sacramento Kings 116