Match Analysis: Samford Bulldogs vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 19, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Pete Hanna Center, Homewood, Alabama
Game Overview
The Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (2-2) travel to face the Samford Bulldogs (3-2) in an ASUN/SoCon Challenge matchup. This is a road game for FGCU against a Samford team that has been strong at home, while the Eagles are struggling in night games on the road. Samford enters as the favored team with strong home court advantage and recent form, though FGCU showed offensive capability in their season opener.
Key Factors to Consider
- Samford has won 3 of their last 5 games with a 3-2 record and has been excellent at Pete Hanna Center, winning their last 13 non-conference home games. They average 81.2 points per game on 42.7% shooting but allow 80.6 points defensively. Florida Gulf Coast sits at 2-2 on the season and has been inconsistent, though they dominated New College of Florida 96-60 in their opener. However, FGCU has lost 5 of their last 6 night games against non-conference opponents and averages 87.8 points per game while allowing 85.3 points.
- No recent head-to-head history is available from the search results. This appears to be either a first meeting or part of an infrequent series between these programs.
- No specific injury information is provided in the available data.
- Samford benefits from Pete Hanna Center's home court advantage, where they have won 13 consecutive non-conference games. FGCU is playing on the road and has shown vulnerability in night games away from home. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM EST, a time slot where FGCU has struggled recently. Recent Samford player Jadin Booth has been performing well (21 points in a recent game), while FGCU's J.R. Konieczny averages 19.8 PPG on the season.
- Samford is motivated to extend their home winning streak and improve to 4-2 on the season. FGCU needs to break their road night game struggles and secure a quality non-conference victory. Samford also has the psychological edge of home court and recent momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samford -154 / FGCU +126 | Samford Bulldogs | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | Samford -2.5 (-110) / FGCU +2.5 (-110) | Samford -2.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 154.5 (-112) / Under 154.5 (-112) | Over 154.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samford Bulldogs -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Samford Bulldogs are favored to win this contest. The combination of strong home court dominance (13-game winning streak at Pete Hanna Center), FGCU's documented struggles in night road games, and Samford's overall record and form make the home team the likely victor. However, FGCU possesses offensive firepower that could keep this competitive if they execute well offensively.
Predicted Score: Samford 78, Florida Gulf Coast 75