Match Analysis: Saint Mary's Gaels vs Ohio Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-12
- Time: 3:00 AM UTC
- Location: University Credit Union Pavilion, Moraga, CA
Game Overview
The Saint Mary's Gaels (2-0) host the Ohio Bobcats (1-1) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. Saint Mary's is currently undefeated, showing efficient shooting, strong rebounding, and excellent free-throw shooting. Ohio is coming off a mixed start with a strong shooting performance in their last game but has struggled on the road and against solid opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saint Mary's is 2-0 overall with an average scoring output of 85.5 points per game, shooting 57.8% from the field and hitting 93.1% from the line recently. Ohio is 1-1, showing decent field goal percentage (50.9%) but poor three-point accuracy (12.5% in last game) and has lost 4 of their last 5 overall.
- Teams have not met since 2007, when Saint Mary's won 70-63. Saint Mary's has a strong home record, winning their last 16 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
- Ohio has an undisclosed injury mention for Wessels; no significant injury concerns reported for Saint Mary's.
- Saint Mary's benefits from playing at home with strong crowd support and night-game dominance. Ohioβs travel and recent form suggest a disadvantage.
- Saint Mary's aims to maintain their unbeaten start and extend their home dominance. Ohio looks to rebalance after a close loss and an overall tough start but faces a challenging environment.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Mary's -2500 / Ohio +1100 | Saint Mary's | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Saint Mary's -17.5 (-115) | Saint Mary's -17.5 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 144.5 (-115) / Under 144.5 (-105) | Under 144.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Mary's Gaels -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 144.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Saint Mary's Gaels will win convincingly, covering the spread and the total points will stay under 144.5.
Predicted Score: Saint Mary's 79 – Ohio 60