Match Analysis: Saint Louis Billikens vs Grand Canyon Antelopes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Chaifetz Arena, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
The Saint Louis Billikens (3-0) host the Grand Canyon Antelopes (2-1) in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. Saint Louis has shown strong home performance and defensive prowess, holding recent games with under total points, while Grand Canyon has a potent offense with strong shooting efficiency and recent success in night games. The game features a 7.5-point spread favoring Saint Louis and a total points line around 170.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Saint Louis is undefeated (3-0) with solid recent wins including a 109-66 blowout and a strong home winning streak. They have a good field goal percentage (~55%) and free throw accuracy (80%). Grand Canyon stands at 2-1, averaging 86.3 PPG on 51.1% shooting, with notable strengths in three-point shooting (36.5%) and free throw accuracy (78.7%).
- Limited direct H2H data is available recently, but Saint Louis holds a home-court advantage at Chaifetz Arena where they have won six consecutive home games. Grand Canyon has shown strong night game performance historically, winning 16 of their last 17 night games.
- No significant injury reports detected for either team that would materially affect the outcome, with no key players listed as unavailable.
- Saint Louis benefits from playing at home, which has been a factor in their perfect home record and consistent early leads in games against non-conference opponents. Crowd advantage and travel fatigue for Grand Canyon may influence performance.
- Saint Louis aims to maintain an unbeaten start and build momentum early in the season at home. Grand Canyon looks to leverage their offensive capabilities and night-game success to challenge the favored host.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Louis Billikens: -410, Grand Canyon Antelopes: 315 | Saint Louis Billikens | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Saint Louis Billikens: -7.5 -120, Grand Canyon Antelopes: +7.5 -102 | Saint Louis Billikens -7.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 170.5 -110, Under: 170.5 -110 | Under 170.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Saint Louis Billikens 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 170.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 170.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the strong home performances, superior defensive displays, and public betting leanings, Saint Louis is favored to win by approximately 7.5 points. The total points are expected to be around 170, reflecting moderate scoring from both teams. Saint Louis' home advantage and current form strongly support a home victory.
Predicted Score: Saint Louis 88 – Grand Canyon 79