Match Analysis: Sacramento St Hornets vs Presbyterian Blue Hose – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Sacramento, CA
Game Overview
The Sacramento State Hornets host the Presbyterian Blue Hose in a non-conference matchup on November 16, 2025. Sacramento State enters the game with a 2-2 record and is favored by 4.5 points, while Presbyterian is 3-2 and will look to upset the home team. The total points line is set at 154.5, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sacramento State has shown mixed results this season, with a 2-2 record and a tendency to cover the spread in recent games. Presbyterian is 3-2 and has been competitive in their outings, but their away record is less impressive. Sacramento State has a slight edge in home performance and recent ATS trends.
- Recent head-to-head matchups between these teams are limited, but historical data shows that games with similar lines have gone over the total slightly more often than under, with the over hitting in 49.1% of games with lines between 152.5 and 154.5.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at Sacramento State's home venue, which could provide a slight advantage. The total points line has remained stable, indicating no major market shifts due to external factors.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Sacramento State will be motivated to protect their home court, while Presbyterian seeks a quality road win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Presbyterian Blue Hose: 170, Sacramento St Hornets: -205 | Sacramento St Hornets | Not available |
| Spread | Presbyterian Blue Hose: 4.5 -105, Sacramento St Hornets: -4.5 -115 | Sacramento St Hornets | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -108, Under: 154.5 -112 | Over | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sacramento St Hornets -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sacramento State is favored to win this matchup, with a slight edge in home performance and recent ATS trends. The total points line suggests a high-scoring game, and historical data supports the over as a viable play.
Predicted Score: Sacramento State 78, Presbyterian 76