Match Analysis: Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 3:10 AM UTC
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California
Game Overview
The Sacramento Kings (5-13) host the Phoenix Suns (11-7) at Golden 1 Center on November 27, 2025. The Suns enter as favorites, looking to extend their three-game road win streak, while the Kings aim to build on a recent two-game win streak after a long losing skid. The matchup features contrasting team performances, with the Suns boasting a strong offense and the Kings showing signs of resurgence at home. The game is set for a high-scoring affair with a total line of 233.5.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Suns have won 10 of their last 13 games, averaging 117.1 points per game and allowing 113.3. They are strong on the road, covering the spread in 3 of their last 7 away games. The Kings have won 2 of their last 5, averaging 112.3 points per game but allowing 123.7. They have covered the spread in 5 of their last 10 games, with a home ATS record of 2-6. Sacramento's recent wins have come against weaker opponents, but they showed resilience in a comeback victory over the Timberwolves.
- The Suns have dominated recent matchups, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings. The last five games have seen the Suns cover the spread in 4 of them. The total has gone over in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head games, with an average combined score of 235.2.
- No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both rosters are at full strength, with key players like Devin Booker and DeMar DeRozan expected to play.
- The game is played at Golden 1 Center, a venue known for its fast pace and high-scoring games. The Kings have a slight edge in home scoring, but their defense has been porous. The Suns have a better road record and are more consistent in covering spreads away from home.
- The Suns are motivated to extend their road win streak and solidify their playoff position. The Kings are looking to continue their recent momentum and prove they can compete with top teams. Both teams have something to play for, but the Suns have more at stake in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns: -178, Sacramento Kings: 150 | Phoenix Suns | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Phoenix Suns: -4.5, Sacramento Kings: 4.5 | Phoenix Suns -4.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 233.5, Under: 233.5 | Over 233.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 233.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Suns are favored to win and cover the spread, but the Kings have shown signs of improvement and could keep the game close. The total is likely to go over, given the recent scoring trends and the venues' reputation for high-scoring games.
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 119 – 114 Sacramento Kings