Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Tennessee Volunteers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas
Game Overview
The matchup between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Tennessee Volunteers is a non-conference clash featuring two undefeated teams. Tennessee enters as a heavy favorite, with the spread set at -14.5 points. The over/under is set at 143.5 points, suggesting a high-scoring contest. Both teams have shown strong offensive performances this season, but Tennessee's depth and recent form give them a clear edge. The game will be played at a neutral site, which could slightly impact home-court advantage for Rutgers.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tennessee is 5-0 this season, averaging over 80 points per game and allowing less than 60. Their offense is balanced, with multiple players contributing. Rutgers is 4-1, with a strong defense but less offensive firepower. Tennessee has covered the spread in only 1 of their last 5 games, while Rutgers has covered in 3 of their last 4. Tennessee's games have gone over the total in 3 of their last 4, and Rutgers' games have gone over in 3 of their last 4 as well.
- There is no recent head-to-head history between these two teams. The last meeting was several years ago, with no clear trend favoring either side.
- Tennessee is dealing with some injury concerns. J. Estrella (knee) and B. Boswell (foot) are both questionable and may not play. Rutgers has no major injury reports, with their roster mostly healthy.
- The game is being played at a neutral site, which could slightly neutralize any home-court advantage for Rutgers. The venue is known for its fast-paced atmosphere, which could favor higher-scoring games.
- Both teams are undefeated and looking to maintain their momentum. Tennessee is aiming to solidify their status as a top team, while Rutgers is looking to prove they can compete with elite programs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tennessee -20000, Rutgers +1500 | Tennessee | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Rutgers +14.5 -110, Tennessee -14.5 -110 | Rutgers +14.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 143.5 -110, Under 143.5 -110 | Over | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 43% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tennessee is expected to win this game, but the spread is quite large. Rutgers has shown the ability to cover in recent games, and their defense could keep the score closer than expected. The over/under is set at 143.5, and both teams have a tendency to play high-scoring games, making the over a strong play.
Predicted Score: Tennessee 79, Rutgers 66