Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena
Game Overview
This is a non-conference matchup between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, played at a neutral site. Both teams enter the game with strong recent records, but Rutgers has shown dominance in their last five games, winning all four. Notre Dame is also competitive, but their recent ATS (against the spread) performance is less consistent. The game is scheduled for Tuesday evening, with national television coverage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rutgers is 4-1 in their last five games, with all wins coming by double digits. Their recent ATS record is poor (1-4), indicating they have covered the spread in only one of their last five outings. The totals have gone over in three of their last five games, including three of their last five at home. Notre Dame's recent performance is less clear from the data, but they are also 4-1 in their last five games. However, their ATS record is not provided, and their recent totals trends are not available.
- No direct head-to-head data is available for this specific matchup. Historical trends and previous meetings are not provided in the current sources.
- No injury reports or player absences are mentioned in the available sources.
- The game is being played at a neutral site (MGM Grand Garden Arena), which may slightly favor neither team. The venue is known for hosting high-profile neutral-site games, and crowd support could be split. The game is televised nationally, which may add pressure or motivation for both teams.
- Both teams are looking to build momentum early in the season. Rutgers, coming off a strong start, will be motivated to continue their winning streak. Notre Dame will be motivated to bounce back from any recent setbacks and prove themselves against a tough opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame -6.5 -110, Rutgers 6.5 -110 | Rutgers to win outright | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Notre Dame -6.5 -110, Rutgers 6.5 -110 | Notre Dame to cover the spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 144.5 -110, Under 144.5 -110 | Over 144.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 144.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 144.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent performance, Rutgers appears to be the stronger team, having won their last four games by double digits. However, their poor ATS record suggests they may not cover the spread in this matchup. Notre Dame is also competitive, but their recent ATS performance is less clear. The game is expected to be close, with Rutgers favored to win outright, but Notre Dame may cover the spread. The total is set at 144.5, which is in line with recent trends for both teams, suggesting the game could go over.
Predicted Score: Rutgers 75, Notre Dame 72