Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Jersey Mike's Arena, Piscataway
Game Overview
This is an out-of-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup between the Rutgers Scarlet Knights and the Lehigh Mountain Hawks. Rutgers enters the game as heavy favorites, with a 2-0 record and strong defensive and rebounding numbers. Lehigh, at 1-2, has struggled offensively and defensively, ranking near the bottom nationally in scoring and shooting efficiency. The game is expected to be a showcase of Rutgers' size and depth against Lehigh's underdog resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rutgers is averaging 76.5 points per game, shooting 42.1% from the field, and grabbing 42.0 rebounds per game. Their defense has allowed opponents to shoot 47.8% in their last game. Lehigh is averaging just 65.0 points per game (337th nationally), shooting 31.3% from three-point range and 69.2% from the free-throw line. Their last game was a 69-47 loss to West Virginia, where they shot only 34.8% from the field.
- There is no recent head-to-head data available for this matchup. Historically, Rutgers has dominated similar matchups against mid-major opponents, especially at home.
- Rutgers center Emmanuel Ogbole is out for the season with a knee injury. No other major injuries are reported for either team.
- Rutgers is playing at home, which typically provides a significant advantage. The game is scheduled for late Friday night, which may affect player focus and energy levels. The public betting percentage heavily favors Rutgers, with nearly 100% of bets on the Scarlet Knights.
- Rutgers is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and build momentum for their conference schedule. Lehigh is looking to upset a Power Five opponent and boost their resume for potential postseason consideration.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lehigh Mountain Hawks: 1200, Rutgers Scarlet Knights: -3000 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | ★★★★★ 97% |
| Spread | Lehigh Mountain Hawks: 17.5 -110, Rutgers Scarlet Knights: -17.5 -110 | Lehigh Mountain Hawks +17.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 140.5 -106, Under: 140.5 -114 | Under 140.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 140.5 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 140.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rutgers is expected to win comfortably, but Lehigh may cover the spread due to their defensive effort and Rutgers' potential for a letdown. The total is likely to go under, as both teams have shown a tendency to play at a slower pace and struggle offensively.
Predicted Score: Rutgers 73, Lehigh 56
