Match Analysis: Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Central Connecticut St Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Jersey Mike's Arena, Piscataway, NJ
Game Overview
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-0) host Central Connecticut St Blue Devils (2-2) with Rutgers heavily favored, reflecting their undefeated start and stronger overall team performance. Rutgers has a top-50 nationally ranked defense and has dominated games against NEC teams historically, including a 19-game winning streak against this conference. Central Connecticut comes off a recent road loss and has struggled away from home, but has won all last seven games following a road loss, indicating some resilience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rutgers boasts a 4-0 record with a strong defensive profile, holding opponents to lower scores and outscoring them by an average margin of around 15 points. Central Connecticut is 2-2, averaging fewer points and with less consistent play, particularly on the road.
- Rutgers has significant dominance over Central Connecticut and NEC teams, having won the last 19 games against NEC opponents including Central Connecticut. Recent betting lines imply a Rutgers victory margin of about 14.5 points.
- Rutgers is missing center Emmanuel Ogbole for the season due to a knee injury, potentially weakening their inside presence, but no major injuries reported for Central Connecticut that would impact their lineup significantly.
- The game is on Rutgers' home court, providing a strong home advantage. The mental edge and familiarity with the venue favor Rutgers. Fan support and travel fatigue likely favor the home team.
- Rutgers aims to maintain their undefeated start and assert dominance in their conference matchups. Central Connecticut aims to bounce back after road losses and prove competitive, having a streak of wins after road defeats.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Connecticut St Blue Devils: +800, Rutgers Scarlet Knights: -1400 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights win | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | Central Connecticut St Blue Devils: +14.5 -110, Rutgers Scarlet Knights: -14.5 -110 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights to cover the -14.5 spread | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 136.5 -105, Under: 136.5 -115 | Over 136.5 points | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rutgers Scarlet Knights 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 136.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 136.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rutgers will win comfortably by covering the spread, demonstrating superior defense and home advantage. The over/under is likely to go over given Rutgers' offensive production and historical trends in their recent games.
Predicted Score: Rutgers 76, Central Connecticut St 61