Match Analysis: Richmond Spiders vs Gardner-Webb Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Robins Center, Richmond
Game Overview
The Richmond Spiders (4-0) host the Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (0-5) with Richmond heavily favored due to a strong undefeated start, balanced scoring, efficient shooting, and solid defense. Gardner-Webb seeks its first win but has struggled defensively and on the road, making Richmond the clear favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
- Richmond is averaging 87.0 points per game while allowing only 67.0 points, demonstrating both strong offense and defense, including 9.3 steals and 2.0 blocks per game. Key players include Aiden Argabright (12.8 PPG), Jonathan Beagle (11.0 PPG, 6.5 RPG), and AJ Lopez (9.3 PPG). Gardner-Webb has started 0-5, including a recent 93-62 loss on the road, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency offensively.
- No recent head-to-head history available in the data, but Richmond is favored heavily, implying dominance in matchups if any have occurred.
- No specific injury reports found in the sources; presumed both teams at or near full strength.
- The game is at Richmondβs home venue, Robins Center, giving them a home-court advantage. Richmond's strong fan support and recent form add to their edge.
- Richmond seeks to continue a perfect season restart and extend a four-game winning streak. Gardner-Webb aims to avoid a winless start, but their form suggests motivation may be outweighed by skill gap and home team strength.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Richmond Spiders: -4500, Gardner-Webb Bulldogs: 1600 | Richmond Spiders win | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Richmond Spiders: -20.5 -118, Gardner-Webb Bulldogs: +20.5 -104 | Richmond Spiders to cover -20.5 spread | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -110, Under: 154.5 -110 | Under 154.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Richmond Spiders -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Richmond Spiders are predicted to win comfortably and cover the spread. The game is expected to be moderately high scoring but staying around the 154.5 total points line.
Predicted Score: Richmond Spiders 90 – 68 Gardner-Webb Bulldogs