Match Analysis: Rhode Island Rams vs Albany Great Danes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Thomas M. Ryan Center, Kingston, Rhode Island
Game Overview
The Rhode Island Rams (3-1 home record) host the Albany Great Danes (2-1 overall) in an NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Rhode Island enters as heavy favorites with a -1200 moneyline, indicating significant confidence in a home victory. Albany, despite being on the road, has shown competitive form with recent momentum including a 65-41 victory over Dartmouth where Amaya Stewart scored 21 points. The Rams' strong home performance last season (17-16 overall, 10-5 at home) and defensive prowess (55.2 points allowed per game) position them as clear favorites. However, Albany's recent offensive output and defensive improvements (53.6 points allowed per game last season) suggest they may be competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rhode Island Rams: The home team has demonstrated strong early-season form with a 3-1 record. They recently defeated Stonehill Skyhawks 80-57 at home, showcasing solid offensive execution and defensive consistency. Albany Great Danes: With a 2-1 record, Albany has won their last two games convincingly, including a dominant 115-52 victory over SUNY-Delhi and a 65-41 triumph against Dartmouth. Amaya Stewart has emerged as a key performer for the Great Danes, scoring 21 points in their latest game.
- Historical data is limited in the search results provided. The teams appear to have matchup history, but specific head-to-head records and trends are not available for detailed analysis.
- No significant injury information is available in the provided search results for either team.
- Rhode Island plays at home, which provides a substantial advantage. The game is scheduled for late evening (12:00 AM UTC), which may affect player performance and fatigue levels. Albany is traveling on the road, which typically presents challenges for away teams in college basketball.
- Rhode Island seeks to maintain their strong home record and improve their overall season record. Albany, riding recent momentum and victories, will attempt to prove themselves competitive against stronger opponents on the road. Both teams have incentive to perform well early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rhode Island -1200 / Albany +725 | Rhode Island Rams Victory | β β β β β 87% |
| Spread | Rhode Island -14.5 (-105) / Albany +14.5 (-115) | Rhode Island Rams -14.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 151.5 (-105) / Under 151.5 (-115) | Under 151.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rhode Island Rams -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 151.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 151.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rhode Island Rams are predicted to win this matchup convincingly. The combination of home court advantage, strong defensive metrics, and the significant odds advantage (-1200 moneyline) indicate Rhode Island is the clear favorite. However, Albany's recent offensive efficiency and competitive performances suggest they may cover the large 14.5-point spread, though a Rhode Island victory remains highly probable. The game is expected to be moderately paced with below-average total scoring due to both teams' defensive capabilities.
Predicted Score: Rhode Island Rams 76, Albany Great Danes 62